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05-November 2013

by Mike.B

My Picks For The Cup - And the Reasons

Tres Blue - Gai Waterhouse

This is one of the most open Melbourne Cups in years. As such, it is possible to look for some value in the betting, and punt accordingly. Admittedly I am no racing expert, but I do know a good horse when I see one.

Tres Blue

Gai Waterhouse is desparate to win a Melbourne Cup, it's about the only race she hasn't won. She nearly pulled it off last year with Fiorente, which she imported for the race, and which is running again this year. BUT, she is also employing the same tactics again with her new import Tres Blue. Tres Blue came to Australia on the back of some very strong form in 2013. In his past five starts he has won three races and been placed at the other two.

He finished second in the German Derby before going on to win the next two starts in the Prix De Reux over 2500m and the Prix Deauville over the same distance. The French form has proved a strong guide in past Melbourne Cups.


Ruscello is an import that has had two starts since arriving in Australia, a win and a second place. Kerrin McEvoy was aboard for both those starts, and it may be significant that he has moved to another horse, although his new mount is owned by a sheik and that move could be contractual.

Ruscello's win in the 2500mtr Lexus was outstanding, where he led from start to finish in a very strong manner. A perfect run for a new horse to Australia. It may also be of some note that Chad Schofield is the replacement hoop, you may recall that Chad had a wonderful ride to win the Cox Plate this year.

Speed Ratings for 2013 Melbourne Cup

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Dandino is one of the international Melbourne Cup horses which has had a lead up race in Australia. Dandino has raced in Europe, Japan, Hong Kong, USA and now Australia. His latest run before his travelling to Australia was at Arlington Park in the USA where he won the USA St. Leger.

This run in the St. Leger was very impressive after he was squeezed for a run and had to get started again in the home straight. This hampering cost him a couple of lengths but he was still able to get going and win the race. A fantastic run which has Melbourne Cup success written all over it. Check out this run below.

Dandino - US St Leger

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Mount Athos

Mount Athos is in the market as one of the main chances of the 2013 Melbourne Cup horses. The seven-year-old gelding ran in the Melbourne Cup last year and was backed to be one of the favourites before the jump. He flashed home for fifth after a bit of an unlucky run in a slowly run race.

He was in the back third of the field and was the only horse making ground down the outside. If the race was run more truly then we may have seen him a lot closer to eventual winner. He was bumped by Americain around the corner which also would have taken a bit out of him. View the race below and watch the run of Mount Athos down the outside in last year's Melbourne Cup.

Mount Athos - 2012 Melbourne Cup

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Mount Athos is trained by Italian thoroughbred trainer Luca Cumani who has now had a few good attempts at winning the Melbourne Cup. Places in the past cups with Bauer and Purple Moon Cumani believes that Mount Athos is his best chance yet. He is driven to win the Melbourne Cup and it is hard to see it not happening in the next few years.

So there you have it, my picks for the Cup, No's 8-15-23-24. I'll probably box them in a trifecta and pick 4. If they come home, the dividend should be excellent. If not like everyone else, i'll give it a go again next year. Happy punting....

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